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← Explore · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-37FEB01-T0.5

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2036 be above 0.5%?

81.0% implied · bid 63.0¢ · ask 99.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 66.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 36.0¢ spread.

Implied probability66.0%
Bid / ask / mid63.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 81.0¢
Spread36.0¢ (44.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+3.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 64 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 4.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-4.58
RSI (14, hourly)63.6
Realized vol 7d1.83pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3809d 21h.

Time to resolve3809d 21h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth