← Explore · Market KXWARMING-50

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

76.0% implied · bid 74.0¢ · ask 78.0¢

The market prices this at 78.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability78.0%

Bid / ask / mid74.0¢ / 78.0¢ / 76.0¢

Spread4.0¢ (5.3%)

Change 24h+3.00pt

Change 7d+0.50pt

Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 24% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$32

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$535 / $501

Imbalance24% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score30.5 / 100

RSI 71 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.22

RSI (14, hourly)70.6

Realized vol 7d2.21pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 8520d 7h.

Time to resolve8520d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%