← Explore · Market KXWARSHOUT-26JUL-28JAN01
Will Kevin Warsh be out as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2028?
4.0% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 5.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.0%, flat over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability3.0%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 5.0¢ / 4.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (50.0%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1222d 6h.
Time to resolve1222d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.
Order-book depth
Order book unavailable.