← Explore · Market KXWARSHOUT-26JUL-29JAN01
Will Kevin Warsh be out as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029?
5.5% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 6.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability5.0%
Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 6.0¢ / 5.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$18 / $50
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1222d 6h.
Time to resolve1222d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%