← Explore · Market KXWARSHOUT-26JUL-30JAN01
Will Kevin Warsh be out as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2030?
10.0% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 12.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 12.0%, flat over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 10.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (40.0%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$38 / $88
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1222d 6h.
Time to resolve1222d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.