← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXWARSHOUT-26JUL-31JAN01
Will Kevin Warsh be out as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2031?
78.0% implied · bid 75.0¢ · ask 81.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 75.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
Implied probability75.0%
Bid / ask / mid75.0¢ / 81.0¢ / 78.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (7.7%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 32% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$375 / $420
Imbalance32% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.47
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d4.68pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1221d 5h.
Time to resolve1221d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%