← Explore · Market KXWC-30-ESP
Will Spain win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?
11.4% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 11.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.0%, down 0.6pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 11.9¢ / 11.4¢
Spread0.9¢ (7.9%)
Change 24h-0.55pt
Change 7d-0.90pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$144
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,411 / $1,529
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 39 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.64
RSI (14, hourly)39.2
Realized vol 7d0.18pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1579d 19h.
Time to resolve1579d 19h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%