← Explore · Market KXWC-30-FRA
Will France win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?
11.5% implied · bid 11.1¢ · ask 12.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.1%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability11.1%
Bid / ask / mid11.1¢ / 12.0¢ / 11.5¢
Spread0.9¢ (7.8%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d-0.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$68
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,375 / $2,235
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 49 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.17
RSI (14, hourly)49.3
Realized vol 7d0.37pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1579d 19h.
Time to resolve1579d 19h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%