← Explore · Market KXWCCAREERGOALS-KMBAPPE-40
Will Kylian Mbappe score at least 40 goals in the World Cup in his career?
6.5% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 8.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.0%, down 10.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 6.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (46.2%)
Change 24h-10.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$31 / $82
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.30
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.52pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6164d 5h.
Time to resolve6164d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%