← Explore · Market KXWCHOST-2038-USA
Will USA be announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup?
47.0% implied · bid 43.0¢ · ask 51.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 47.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
Implied probability47.0%
Bid / ask / mid43.0¢ / 51.0¢ / 47.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (17.0%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d+11.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 35% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$45 / $55
Imbalance35% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 70 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.34
RSI (14, hourly)70.4
Realized vol 7d2.06pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2676d 6h.
Time to resolve2676d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%