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← Explore · Market KXWCQUAL-30-FRA

Will France qualify for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup?

96.0% implied · bid 92.1¢ · ask 99.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.0%, up 11.1pt over 24h, on a 7.8¢ spread.

Implied probability99.0%
Bid / ask / mid92.1¢ / 99.9¢ / 96.0¢
Spread7.8¢ (8.1%)
Change 24h+11.05pt
Change 7d+0.05pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 11/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 95% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$189 / $30
Imbalance95% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score11.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.77
RSI (14, hourly)50.1
Realized vol 7d2.75pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1579d 18h.

Time to resolve1579d 18h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth