← Explore · Market KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-LXI

Will Li Xi become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?

14.0% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 17.0¢

The market prices this at 18.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability18.0%

Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 17.0¢ / 14.0¢

Spread6.0¢ (42.9%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.50pt

Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$23 / $75

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score20.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 24.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean24.87

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.23pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 6694d 7h.

Time to resolve6694d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%