← Explore · Market KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-ZLEJ
Will Zhao Leji become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?
14.5% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 16.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 16.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability16.0%
Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 16.0¢ / 14.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (20.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$21 / $53
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 89042564538592.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean89042564538592.72
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6694d 7h.
Time to resolve6694d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%