← Explore · Market USCLIMATE-2025
Will the US meet its climate goals?
8.5% implied · bid 6.9¢ · ask 10.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.1%, down 3.8pt over 24h, on a 3.1¢ spread.
Implied probability7.1%
Bid / ask / mid6.9¢ / 10.0¢ / 8.5¢
Spread3.1¢ (36.7%)
Change 24h-3.85pt
Change 7d-1.15pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$719
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$36 / $54
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score34.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 48 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.98
RSI (14, hourly)48.3
Realized vol 7d1.73pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1579d 7h.
Time to resolve1579d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%