← Explore · Market USCLIMATE-2030

Will the US meet its climate goals?

18.0% implied · bid 16.1¢ · ask 19.9¢

The market prices this at 16.3%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 3.8¢ spread.

Implied probability16.3%

Bid / ask / mid16.1¢ / 19.9¢ / 18.0¢

Spread3.8¢ (21.1%)

Change 24h-0.10pt

Change 7d-0.15pt

Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$84 / $22

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score31.1 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.41

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.89pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1579d 7h.

Time to resolve1579d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%