← Explore · Kalshi · Market INDIACLIMATE-30
Will India meet its climate goals?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 62.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 40% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 36 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1883d 12h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
⚠ Single sourceSummary
If India has reduced the emission intensity of its GDP by 45% relative to the 2005 level by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
Not published.