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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXACTORSONNYCROCKETT-35-GLE

Will Glen Powell be casted in the next Miami Vice?

31.5% implied · bid 30.0¢ · ask 33.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 33.0%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability33.0%
Bid / ask / mid30.0¢ / 33.0¢ / 31.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h+2.50pt
Change 7d+3.50pt
Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$12
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$60 / $59
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 71 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.16
RSI (14, hourly)71.4
Realized vol 7d0.66pt
Change 1h+2.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2980d 10h.

Time to resolve2980d 10h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 0.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Glen Powell is cast in Miami Vice before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

This market and these products have not been endorsed by NBC. Any references to NBC, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Kalshi and NBC.