Refacto TerminalKalshi
Healthy
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXACTORSONNYCROCKETT-35-MIL

Will Miles Teller be casted in the next Miami Vice?

20.0% implied · bid 17.0¢ · ask 23.0¢

☆ Log in to track☆ Log in to set an alert

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 18.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability18.0%
Bid / ask / mid17.0¢ / 23.0¢ / 20.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (30.0%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
Longshot tax-42% historically (10-20¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$26 / $26
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 7.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-7.22
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.29pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2980d 11h.

Time to resolve2980d 11h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 0.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Miles Teller is cast in Miami Vice before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

This market and these products have not been endorsed by NBC. Any references to NBC, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Kalshi and NBC.