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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXACTORSONNYCROCKETT-35-TAY

Will Taylor Kitsch be casted in the next Miami Vice?

7.0% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 11.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 11.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 7.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (114.3%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-2.00pt
Longshot tax-42% historically (10-20¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $11
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 17 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.87
RSI (14, hourly)16.7
Realized vol 7d3.64pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2980d 10h.

Time to resolve2980d 10h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 0.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Taylor Kitsch is cast in Miami Vice before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

This market and these products have not been endorsed by NBC. Any references to NBC, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Kalshi and NBC.