← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXCANADACUP-30
Will a Canadian team win the Stanley Cup® by the end of the 2030 season?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 29.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 45 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 6.0σ — an unusually large move.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1334d 11h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
⚠ Single sourceSummary
If a Canadian hockey team wins the Stanley Cup® after Issuance and before Jun 30, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
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