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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXCEOAVGO-01JAN33-01JAN33

Will Hock Tan leave as Broadcom CEO before Jan 1, 2033?

50.0% implied · bid 46.0¢ · ask 54.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 50.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability50.0%
Bid / ask / mid46.0¢ / 54.0¢ / 50.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (16.0%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax-9% historically (35-50¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$92 / $108
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.90
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.39pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2250d 10h.

Time to resolve2250d 10h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Rules riskmedium (45)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

⚠ Single source
Settlement sources
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 0.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If the CEO of Broadcom Inc has announced, or it has been announced on their behalf, that they have left their position as CEO after issuance and before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

The CEO covered by this event is Hock Tan, the CEO of Broadcom Inc at issuance. The CEO must actually leave their position; announcing a future departure alone does not qualify. The departure must be announced by the CEO or on their behalf after issuance and before the specified date. "Before" excludes the specified calendar date. Each deadline is evaluated independently, so more than one market can resolve to Yes.