← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXCEOLVMH-01JAN34-01JAN34
Will Bernard Arnault leave as LVMH CEO before Jan 1, 2034?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 38.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 13 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2615d 10h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
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Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
⚠ Single sourceSummary
If the CEO of LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE has announced, or it has been announced on their behalf, that they have left their position as CEO after issuance and before Jan 1, 2034, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
The CEO covered by this event is Bernard Arnault, the CEO of LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE at issuance. The CEO must actually leave their position; announcing a future departure alone does not qualify. The departure must be announced by the CEO or on their behalf after issuance and before the specified date. "Before" excludes the specified calendar date. Each deadline is evaluated independently, so more than one market can resolve to Yes.