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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXCITYCHAMPS-BAY30JUL01W4GS-2

Golden State Pro Basketball team, San Francisco Pro Football team, San Francisco Pro Baseball team, and the San Jose Sharks: At least 2 championships after Jun 9, 2026 and before Jul 1, 2030

15.0% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 19.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 15.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 19.0¢ / 15.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (53.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
Longshot tax-42% historically (10-20¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$21 / $38
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 10 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.16
RSI (14, hourly)10.3
Realized vol 7d5.50pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1335d 10h.

Time to resolve1335d 10h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (25)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 10.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If the Golden State Pro Basketball team, San Francisco Pro Football team, San Francisco Pro Baseball team, and the San Jose Sharks combine to win at least 2 championships after Jun 9, 2026 and before Jul 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

Time Period Constraints: Only championships officially decided after Jun 9, 2026 and before Jul 1, 2030 are counted, based on when the governing body awards the championship, regardless of which season or year the championship represents. Championship Definition: Only the single, officially recognized top-level championship of the competition for a listed sports team counts. A conference championship, division title, playoff-qualification, or any other mid-season tournament title does not count. Team Relocation: A championship won by a listed sports team after that team has relocated out of the San Francisco Bay Area, California does not count. Championship Rescinded: Championships that are officially vacated, stripped, or rescinded by the governing body before the Expiration Date do not count as awarded championships. Any vacatur, reversal, or appeal occurring after the Expiration Date does not affect the resolution. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.