Refacto TerminalKalshi
Healthy
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXCITYCHAMPS-BOS30JUL01CPRB-4

Boston Pro Basketball team, New England Pro Football team, Boston Pro Baseball team, and the Boston Bruins: At least 4 championships after Jun 9, 2026 and before Jul 1, 2030

2.5% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 4.0¢

☆ Log in to track☆ Log in to set an alert

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.0%, flat over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability1.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 4.0¢ / 2.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (120.0%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $10
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1335d 9h.

Time to resolve1335d 9h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Rules riskmedium (25)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 10.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If the Boston Pro Basketball team, New England Pro Football team, Boston Pro Baseball team, and the Boston Bruins combine to win at least 4 championships after Jun 9, 2026 and before Jul 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

Time Period Constraints: Only championships officially decided after Jun 9, 2026 and before Jul 1, 2030 are counted, based on when the governing body awards the championship, regardless of which season or year the championship represents. Championship Definition: Only the single, officially recognized top-level championship of the competition for a listed sports team counts. A conference championship, division title, playoff-qualification, or any other mid-season tournament title does not count. Team Relocation: A championship won by a listed sports team after that team has relocated out of Boston, Massachusetts does not count. Championship Rescinded: Championships that are officially vacated, stripped, or rescinded by the governing body before the Expiration Date do not count as awarded championships. Any vacatur, reversal, or appeal occurring after the Expiration Date does not affect the resolution. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.