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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXCITYCHAMPS-MIA30JUL01HDMP-1

Miami Pro Basketball team, Miami Pro Football team, Miami Pro Baseball team, and the Florida Panthers: At least 1 championship after Jun 9, 2026 and before Jul 1, 2030

44.5% implied · bid 44.0¢ · ask 45.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 45.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability45.0%
Bid / ask / mid44.0¢ / 45.0¢ / 44.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
Longshot tax-9% historically (35-50¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,829 / $4,374
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 12.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean12.77
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.06pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1335d 10h.

Time to resolve1335d 10h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (25)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 10.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If the Miami Pro Basketball team, Miami Pro Football team, Miami Pro Baseball team, and the Florida Panthers combine to win at least 1 championship after Jun 9, 2026 and before Jul 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

Time Period Constraints: Only championships officially decided after Jun 9, 2026 and before Jul 1, 2030 are counted, based on when the governing body awards the championship, regardless of which season or year the championship represents. Championship Definition: Only the single, officially recognized top-level championship of the competition for a listed sports team counts. A conference championship, division title, playoff-qualification, or any other mid-season tournament title does not count. Team Relocation: A championship won by a listed sports team after that team has relocated out of Miami, Florida does not count. Championship Rescinded: Championships that are officially vacated, stripped, or rescinded by the governing body before the Expiration Date do not count as awarded championships. Any vacatur, reversal, or appeal occurring after the Expiration Date does not affect the resolution. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.