← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXDEELRIP-40-RIPP
Will Deel or Rippling IPO first?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 34.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
Implied probability34.0%
Bid / ask / mid35.0¢ / 43.0¢ / 39.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (20.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$177 / $217
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 296154887187398.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-296154887187398.56
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 4806d 11h.
Time to resolve4806d 11h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sources
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 10.0h after scheduled close.
Summary
If Rippling confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
Not published.