← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXF1RETIRE-30VERSTAPPEN-2027

Will Max Verstappen announce his retirement before the 2027 F1 season?

0.5% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 1.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability1.0%

Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 1.0¢ / 0.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (200.0%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $9

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.00pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1244d 11h.

Time to resolve1244d 11h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Rules riskmedium (35)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementExpected settlement is 10.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Max Verstappen announces his retirement from F1 before the 2027 F1 season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.