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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXGOLFMAJOR-30-DBER

Will Daniel Berger win a golf major championship after June 22, 2026 and before 2030?

48.0% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 94.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 94.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 92.0¢ spread.

Implied probability94.0%
Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 94.0¢ / 48.0¢
Spread92.0¢ (191.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 130.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean130.81
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1327d 9h.

Time to resolve1327d 9h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sources
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is -336.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Daniel Berger wins a golf major championship (including The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

A golf major refers to one of the four annual major championship tournaments officially designated by the sport’s governing bodies: The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.