← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXJOHNNYDEPP-35-JOH
Will Johnny Depp be casted in the next Pirates of the Caribbean?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 65.0%, flat over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability65.0%
Bid / ask / mid62.0¢ / 65.0¢ / 63.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (4.7%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$70
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$64 / $96
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2980d 12h.
Time to resolve2980d 12h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sources
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 0.0h after scheduled close.
Summary
If Johnny Depp is cast in the next Pirates of the Caribbean before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
Not published.