← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXKOREAPRES-30MAR27-HDON
Will Han Dong-hoon win the next South Korean presidential election?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 16.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1270d 11h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
⚠ Single sourceSummary
If Han Dong-hoon wins the next South Korean presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.