← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXKOREAPRESPARTY-30MAR27-DPK
Will Democratic Party of Korea win the next South Korean presidential election?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 51.0%, flat over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1270d 10h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Summary
If Democratic Party of Korea wins the next South Korean presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
A party wins if the candidate registered with the National Election Commission under that party's name, including any later name of that party, is declared elected. If one listed party merges into the other, only the party the winner is registered under resolves to Yes. A candidate who runs as an independent or under another party's name, even if backed by the party, does not count for it. The next South Korean presidential election is the first presidential election held after Issuance, including an early election held after a vacancy in the office. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.