← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXLFPRATEEOY-32JAN09-T56.50
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2031 be above 56.50%?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 92.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 59% to the bid (buyers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 62 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1899d 9h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
⚠ Single sourceSummary
If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2031 is above 56.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2031 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2031. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2031 value, Kalshi may use the corresponding value from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics or FRED series CIVPART. Values will be compared as published without additional rounding.