← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXMEXICOPRES-30JUN02-CBRU

Will Clara Brugada win the 2030 Mexican presidential election?

6.0% implied · bid 4.0¢ · ask 8.0¢

The market prices this at 6.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%

Bid / ask / mid4.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 6.0¢

Spread4.0¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-41.00pt

Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$24 / $20

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score30.0 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.52

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d3.54pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1336d 12h.

Time to resolve1336d 12h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Rules risklow (15)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

Settlement sources

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementExpected settlement is -8039.0h after scheduled close.

If Clara Brugada wins the 2030 Mexican presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.