← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNBASTADIUM-30MAY01PHI-Y
Will Harris Blitzer Sports & Entertainment and Comcast Spectacor complete the new Flyers/Philadelphia Pro Basketball arena in the South Philadelphia Sports Complex before May 1, 2030?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 43.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 48 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1274d 10h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Summary
If Harris Blitzer Sports & Entertainment and Comcast Spectacor complete the new 76ers/Flyers arena in the South Philadelphia Sports Complex before May 1, 2030, the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
Completion Requires: official opening/first event, full occupancy permits, and a formal completion declaration by Harris Blitzer Sports & Entertainment and Comcast Spectacor. Counts as Complete: minor deficiencies, cost overruns/delays, or minor scope changes — as long as the arena is fully open and operational. Does NOT count as complete: groundbreaking, partial/test openings, one phase of a multi-phase project, conditional permits, funding-contingent status, or cancellation/abandonment/relocation. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.