← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNCAAFCOACHLEAVE-26BBEL-120126
Bill Belichick out before Dec 1, 2026
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 21.0%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1518d 10h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Summary
If the head coach of the North Carolina college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the North Carolina college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise leave their position as head coach; or has announced that they will do so before Dec 1, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.