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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNCAAFCOACHLEAVE-26DSWI-120126

Dabo Swinney out before Dec 1, 2026

36.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 66.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 50.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 59.0¢ spread.

Implied probability50.0%
Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 66.0¢ / 36.5¢
Spread59.0¢ (161.6%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
Longshot tax-9% historically (35-50¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.92
RSI (14, hourly)50.4
Realized vol 7d10.49pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1518d 10h.

Time to resolve1518d 10h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 35794.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If the head coach of the Clemson college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the Clemson college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise leave their position as head coach; or has announced that they will do so before Dec 1, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.