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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNCAAFCOACHLEAVE-26KWHI-010128

Kyle Whittingham out before Jan 1, 2028

53.5% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 99.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 53.5%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 91.0¢ spread.

Implied probability53.5%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 53.5¢
Spread91.0¢ (170.1%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+3.00pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 42% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance42% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 71 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.66
RSI (14, hourly)71.4
Realized vol 7d0.62pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1518d 11h.

Time to resolve1518d 11h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 26290.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If the head coach of the Michigan college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the Michigan college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise leave their position as head coach; or has announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2028. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.