← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNEWROLEGS-30DEC-AVA
Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1518d 18h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Summary
If Ashok Varadhan is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as COO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.