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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNEWROLEGS-30DEC-DDE

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs?

10.5% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 15.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 14.0%, down 3.5pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.

Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 10.5¢
Spread9.0¢ (85.7%)
Change 24h-3.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
Longshot tax-42% historically (10-20¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12 / $30
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score5.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.3
Realized vol 7d12.52pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1518d 17h.

Time to resolve1518d 17h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 0.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Dan Dees is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as COO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.