← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNEWROLEGS-35DEC-AVA

Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs?

3.0% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 5.0¢

☆ Log in to track ☆ Log in to set an alert

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 6.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%

Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 5.0¢ / 3.0¢

Spread4.0¢ (133.3%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $10

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score30.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.45

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d3.97pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3344d 18h.

Time to resolve3344d 18h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Rules risklow (15)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementExpected settlement is 0.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Ashok Varadhan is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as CEO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

Not published.