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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNEWROLEGS-35DEC-JWA

Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs?

80.5% implied · bid 77.0¢ · ask 84.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 84.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability84.0%
Bid / ask / mid77.0¢ / 84.0¢ / 80.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (8.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+13.00pt
Longshot tax+7% historically (80-90¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 41% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$157 / $168
Imbalance41% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.97
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.59pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3344d 18h.

Time to resolve3344d 18h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 80-90¢ bucket has returned +7% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 0.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If John Waldron is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as CEO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

Not published.