← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNEWROLEGS-35DEC-MNA

Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs?

2.5% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 5.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 7.0%, flat over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability7.0%

Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 5.0¢ / 2.5¢

Spread5.0¢ (200.0%)

Change 24hn/a

Change 7dn/a

Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $10

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score25.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.00pt

Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3344d 18h.

Time to resolve3344d 18h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Rules risklow (15)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementExpected settlement is 0.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Marc Nachmann is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as CEO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

Not published.