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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNEWROLEJP-35DEC-JPI

Who will be the next CEO of JP Morgan Chase?

14.5% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 15.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 14.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 14.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.9%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax-42% historically (10-20¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$30 / $30
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3344d 18h.

Time to resolve3344d 18h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 0.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Jennifer Piepszak is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as CEO for JP Morgan Chase before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

Not published.