← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNEWROLEJP-35DEC-MER

Who will be the next CEO of JP Morgan Chase?

9.0% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 13.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 6.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%

Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 9.0¢

Spread8.0¢ (88.9%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.50pt

Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10 / $26

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score10.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 53 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 4.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-4.51

RSI (14, hourly)53.3

Realized vol 7d0.81pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3344d 17h.

Time to resolve3344d 17h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Rules risklow (15)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementExpected settlement is 0.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Mary Erdoes is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as CEO for JP Morgan Chase before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

Not published.