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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNEWROLEJP-35DEC-TRO

Who will be the next CEO of JP Morgan Chase?

42.5% implied · bid 39.0¢ · ask 46.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 40.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability40.0%
Bid / ask / mid39.0¢ / 46.0¢ / 42.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (16.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
Longshot tax-9% historically (35-50¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$83 / $92
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 6.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-6.94
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.27pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3344d 18h.

Time to resolve3344d 18h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (15)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is 0.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Troy Rohrbaugh is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as CEO for JP Morgan Chase before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

Not published.