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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNFLCAREERPASSYDS-JALLEN-35000

Josh Allen: 35,000+ Passing Yards

97.0% implied · bid 94.0¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 97.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability97.0%
Bid / ask / mid94.0¢ / 100.0¢ / 97.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (6.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$188 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.34
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d16.09pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4866d 11h.

Time to resolve4866d 11h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is -168.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Josh Allen records at least 35,000 career regular season passing yards before Josh Allen or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

The market resolves to Yes if Josh Allen records at least 35,000 career regular season passing yards before he or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NFL. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.