← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNFLCAREERPASSYDS-PMAHOMES-70000

Patrick Mahomes: 70,000+ Passing Yards

38.5% implied · bid 34.0¢ · ask 43.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 34.0%, flat over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.

Implied probability34.0%

Bid / ask / mid34.0¢ / 43.0¢ / 38.5¢

Spread9.0¢ (23.4%)

Change 24hn/a

Change 7dn/a

Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance50% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score5.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.00pt

Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4866d 10h.

Time to resolve4866d 10h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Rules riskmedium (35)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth

Order book unavailable.

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementExpected settlement is -168.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Patrick Mahomes records at least 70,000 career regular season passing yards before Patrick Mahomes or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes records at least 70,000 career regular season passing yards before he or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NFL. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.