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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNFLCAREERRECYDS-MEVANS-14000

Mike Evans: 14,000+ Receiving Yards

57.0% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 98.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 50.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 82.0¢ spread.

Implied probability50.0%
Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 98.0¢ / 57.0¢
Spread82.0¢ (143.9%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
Longshot tax-9% historically (35-50¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 20% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance20% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 43 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 26.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-26.10
RSI (14, hourly)42.9
Realized vol 7d0.51pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4866d 11h.

Time to resolve4866d 11h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is -168.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Mike Evans records at least 14,000 career regular season receiving yards before Mike Evans or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

The market resolves to Yes if Mike Evans records at least 14,000 career regular season receiving yards before he or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NFL. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.