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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNFLCAREERRECYDS-MEVANS-16000

Mike Evans: 16,000+ Receiving Yards

5.5% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 10.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 8.0%, flat over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.

Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 5.5¢
Spread9.0¢ (163.6%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $20
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score5.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4866d 10h.

Time to resolve4866d 10h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is -168.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Mike Evans records at least 16,000 career regular season receiving yards before Mike Evans or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

The market resolves to Yes if Mike Evans records at least 16,000 career regular season receiving yards before he or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NFL. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.