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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNFLCAREERRSHYDS-DHENRY-15000

Derrick Henry: 15,000+ Rushing Yards

68.5% implied · bid 64.0¢ · ask 73.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 63.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.

Implied probability63.0%
Bid / ask / mid64.0¢ / 73.0¢ / 68.5¢
Spread9.0¢ (13.1%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 46% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$128 / $146
Imbalance46% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score5.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 57 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.77
RSI (14, hourly)57.1
Realized vol 7d7.96pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4866d 10h.

Time to resolve4866d 10h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementExpected settlement is -168.0h after scheduled close.

Summary

If Derrick Henry records at least 15,000 career regular season rushing yards before Derrick Henry or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

The market resolves to Yes if Derrick Henry records at least 15,000 career regular season rushing yards before he or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NFL. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.